Scenario studio
Change the assumption. See the consequence.
A transparent, first-year commercial model. Every number below is calculated from your inputs.
Model the opportunity
USD · illustrativedays
%
$k
%
%
%
$M
month
A positive case. Now prove delivery.
Positive modeled contribution supports a scoped validation, not an automatic commitment. Capacity utilization is 82%.
Conversion sensitivity · year-one net contribution
19% conversion$0.42MDownside
24% conversion$0.85MCurrent
29% conversion$1.27MUpside
Baseline $0.85M → current $0.85M. Same company, opportunity, units, and year-one horizon.
What changed?
$0.00M versus the original base case.
Original assumptions are unchanged.
Ranking also responds to channel contribution, capacity, and sales cycle. Financial results remain separate from evidence confidence.